The political dynamics of voter retrospection and disaster responses.

Tytuł:: The political dynamics of voter retrospection and disaster responses.
Autorzy:: Rubin O; Professor, Department of Social Sciences and Business, Roskilde University, Denmark.
Źródło:: Disasters [Disasters] 2020 Apr; Vol. 44 (2), pp. 239-261. Date of Electronic Publication: 2019 Sep 02.
Typ publikacji:: Comparative Study; Journal Article
Język:: English
Imprint Name(s):: Publication: Oxford : Blackwell
Original Publication: Oxford, Elmsford, N. Y., Pergamon Press.
MeSH Terms:: Disasters*
Politics*
Relief Work*
Tsunamis*
Denmark ; Humans ; Retrospective Studies ; Sweden
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Contributed Indexing:: Keywords: disaster discourses; elections; government responses; political narratives; tsunami; voter retrospection
Entry Date(s):: Date Created: 20190625 Date Completed: 20200325 Latest Revision: 20200325
Update Code:: 20240104
DOI:: 10.1111/disa.12376
PMID:: 31231837
: Czasopismo naukowe

Pełny tekst

Natural hazards not only have socioeconomic ramifications, they also have political repercussions. This paper takes stock of the fast-growing area of research linking disasters triggered by natural hazards to voting behaviour. It is based on the central tenet of voter retrospection: voters place emphasis on past events when making their selection. The study uncovers a great disparity in analysis of electoral outcomes in the wake of disasters, part of which can be explained by the different methodological choices of authors. However, the unpredictability of voting behaviour in the aftermath of disasters also points to the relevance of introducing an intermediate variable when elucidating voter movements. This variable should capture the prevailing political discourses that surround disasters, as these are likely to shape the dynamics of voter retrospection. The paper demonstrates the analytical relevance of such political discourses by contrasting political dynamics in Denmark and Sweden following the Indian Ocean tsunami on 26 December 2004.
(© 2019 The Author Disasters © 2019 Overseas Development Institute.)

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