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Tytuł pozycji:

Climate change, ecosystems and abrupt change: science priorities.

Tytuł:
Climate change, ecosystems and abrupt change: science priorities.
Autorzy:
Turner MG; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53706, USA.
Calder WJ; Department of Geology and Geophysics, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY 82071, USA.
Cumming GS; ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland 4811, Australia.
Hughes TP; ARC Centre of Excellence for Coral Reef Studies, James Cook University, Townsville, Queensland 4811, Australia.
Jentsch A; Department of Disturbance Ecology, BayCEER, University of Bayreuth, 95440 Bayreuth, Germany.
LaDeau SL; Cary Institute of Ecosystem Studies, Millbrook, NY 12545, USA.
Lenton TM; Global Systems Institute, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4QE, UK.
Shuman BN; Department of Geology and Geophysics, University of Wyoming, Laramie, WY 82071, USA.
Turetsky MR; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Guelph, Guelph, Canada N1G 2W1.
Ratajczak Z; Department of Integrative Biology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53706, USA.
Williams JW; Department of Geography, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53706, USA.
Williams AP; Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Columbia University, Palisades, NY 10964, USA.
Carpenter SR; Center for Limnology, University of Wisconsin-Madison, Madison, WI 53706, USA.
Źródło:
Philosophical transactions of the Royal Society of London. Series B, Biological sciences [Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci] 2020 Mar 16; Vol. 375 (1794), pp. 20190105. Date of Electronic Publication: 2020 Jan 27.
Typ publikacji:
Journal Article; Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't; Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.; Review
Język:
English
Imprint Name(s):
Original Publication: London : Royal Society, 1934-
MeSH Terms:
Climate Change*
Ecosystem*
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Contributed Indexing:
Keywords: disturbance; ecological memory; regime shift; resilience; thresholds
Entry Date(s):
Date Created: 20200128 Date Completed: 20210120 Latest Revision: 20210316
Update Code:
20240104
PubMed Central ID:
PMC7017767
DOI:
10.1098/rstb.2019.0105
PMID:
31983326
Czasopismo naukowe
Ecologists have long studied patterns, directions and tempos of change, but there is a pressing need to extend current understanding to empirical observations of abrupt changes as climate warming accelerates. Abrupt changes in ecological systems (ACES)-changes that are fast in time or fast relative to their drivers-are ubiquitous and increasing in frequency. Powerful theoretical frameworks exist, yet applications in real-world landscapes to detect, explain and anticipate ACES have lagged. We highlight five insights emerging from empirical studies of ACES across diverse ecosystems: (i) ecological systems show ACES in some dimensions but not others; (ii) climate extremes may be more important than mean climate in generating ACES; (iii) interactions among multiple drivers often produce ACES; (iv) contingencies, such as ecological memory, frequency and sequence of disturbances, and spatial context are important; and (v) tipping points are often (but not always) associated with ACES. We suggest research priorities to advance understanding of ACES in the face of climate change. Progress in understanding ACES requires strong integration of scientific approaches (theory, observations, experiments and process-based models) and high-quality empirical data drawn from a diverse array of ecosystems. This article is part of the theme issue 'Climate change and ecosystems: threats, opportunities and solutions'.

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