The role of climate during the COVID-19 epidemic in New South Wales, Australia.

Tytuł:: The role of climate during the COVID-19 epidemic in New South Wales, Australia.
Autorzy:: Ward MP; Sydney School of Veterinary Science, The University of Sydney, Camden, NSW, Australia.
Xiao S; School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Zhang Z; School of Public Health, Fudan University, Shanghai, China.
Źródło:: Transboundary and emerging diseases [Transbound Emerg Dis] 2020 Nov; Vol. 67 (6), pp. 2313-2317. Date of Electronic Publication: 2020 Jun 01.
Typ publikacji:: Journal Article
Język:: English
Imprint Name(s):: Original Publication: Berlin : Blackwell Verlag
MeSH Terms:: Humidity*
Temperature*
COVID-19/*epidemiology
Disease Notification/*statistics & numerical data
Epidemics/*statistics & numerical data
COVID-19/virology ; Climate ; Humans ; New South Wales/epidemiology ; Weather
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Contributed Indexing:: Keywords: Australia; COVID-19; humidity; meteorological factors; rainfall; temperature; time series analysis
Entry Date(s):: Date Created: 20200522 Date Completed: 20201216 Latest Revision: 20220727
Update Code:: 20240105
PubMed Central ID:: PMC7280716
DOI:: 10.1111/tbed.13631
PMID:: 32438520
: Czasopismo naukowe

Pełny tekst

Previous research has identified a relationship between climate and occurrence of SARS-CoV and MERS-CoV cases, information that can be used to reduce the risk of infection. Using COVID-19 notification and postcode data from New South Wales, Australia during the exponential phase of the epidemic in 2020, we used time series analysis to investigate the relationship between 749 cases of locally acquired COVID-19 and daily rainfall, 9 a.m. and 3 p.m. temperature, and 9 a.m. and 3 p.m. relative humidity. Lower 9 a.m. relative humidity (but not rainfall or temperature) was associated with increased case occurrence; a reduction in relative humidity of 1% was predicted to be associated with an increase of COVID-19 cases by 6.11%. During periods of low relative humidity, the public health system should anticipate an increased number of COVID-19 cases.
(© 2020 Blackwell Verlag GmbH.)

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