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Tytuł:
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Impact of COVID-19 infection on life expectancy, premature mortality, and DALY in Maharashtra, India.
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Autorzy:
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Vasishtha G; International Institute for Population Sciences, Govandi Station Road, Deonar, Mumbai, Maharashtra, 400088, India. .
Mohanty SK; Department of Fertility Studies, International Institute for Population Sciences, Mumbai, India.
Mishra US; Centre for Development Studies, Prashant Nagar, Medical College P.O, Ullor Thiruvananthapuram, Kerala, India.
Dubey M; Centre for Chronic Disease Control, New Delhi, India.
Sahoo U; International Institute for Population Sciences, Govandi Station Road, Deonar, Mumbai, Maharashtra, 400088, India.
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Źródło:
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BMC infectious diseases [BMC Infect Dis] 2021 Apr 12; Vol. 21 (1), pp. 343. Date of Electronic Publication: 2021 Apr 12.
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Typ publikacji:
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Journal Article
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Język:
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English
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Imprint Name(s):
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Original Publication: London : BioMed Central, [2001-
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MeSH Terms:
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Life Expectancy*
Mortality, Premature*
Quality-Adjusted Life Years*
COVID-19/*epidemiology
Adolescent ; Adult ; Aged ; Aged, 80 and over ; Child ; Child, Preschool ; Female ; Humans ; India/epidemiology ; Infant ; Infant, Newborn ; Male ; Middle Aged ; Young Adult
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References:
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Contributed Indexing:
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Keywords: COVID-19; DALY; Life expectancy; Maharashtra; Premature mortality; YPLL
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Entry Date(s):
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Date Created: 20210413 Date Completed: 20210415 Latest Revision: 20231111
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Update Code:
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20240105
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PubMed Central ID:
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PMC8040360
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DOI:
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10.1186/s12879-021-06026-6
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PMID:
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33845774
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Background: The COVID-19 infections and deaths have largely been uneven within and between countries. With 17% of the world's population, India has so far had 13% of global COVID-19 infections and 8.5% of deaths. Maharashtra accounting for 9% of India's population, is the worst affected state, with 19% of infections and 33% of total deaths in the country until 23rd December 2020. Though a number of studies have examined the vulnerability to and spread of COVID-19 and its effect on mortality, no attempt has been made to understand its impact on mortality in the states of India.
Method: Using data from multiple sources and under the assumption that COVID-19 deaths are additional deaths in the population, this paper examined the impact of the disease on premature mortality, loss of life expectancy, years of potential life lost (YPLL), and disability-adjusted life years (DALY) in Maharashtra. Descriptive statistics, a set of abridged life tables, YPLL, and DALY were used in the analysis. Estimates of mortality indices were compared pre- and during COVID-19.
Result: COVID-19 attributable deaths account for 5.3% of total deaths in the state and have reduced the life expectancy at birth by 0.8 years, from 73.2 years in the pre-COVID-19 period to 72.4 years by the end of 2020. If COVID-19 attributable deaths increase to 10% of total deaths, life expectancy at birth will likely reduce by 1.4 years. The probability of death in 20-64 years of age (the prime working-age group) has increased from 0.15 to 0.16 due to COVID-19. There has been 1.06 million additional loss of years (YPLL) in the state, and DALY due to COVID-19 has been estimated to be 6 per thousand.
Conclusion: COVID-19 has increased premature mortality, YPLL, and DALY and has reduced life expectancy at every age in Maharashtra.
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