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Tytuł :
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Deliberation and confidence change.
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Autorzy :
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Heinzelmann N; Institute of Philosophy, Friedrich Alexander University of Erlangen-Nuremberg, Bismarckstrasse 1, 91054 Erlangen, Germany.; Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy, Ludwig Maximilian University, Geschwister-Scholl-Platz 1, 80539 Munich, Germany.
Hartmann S; Munich Center for Mathematical Philosophy, Ludwig Maximilian University, Geschwister-Scholl-Platz 1, 80539 Munich, Germany.
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Źródło :
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Synthese [Synthese] 2022; Vol. 200 (1), pp. 1-13. Date of Electronic Publication: 2022 Feb 25.
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Typ publikacji :
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Journal Article
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Język :
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English
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Imprint Name(s) :
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Publication: Dordrecht : Springer Netherlands
Original Publication: Dordrecht, Boston [etc.] D. Reidel Pub. Co. [etc.]
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References :
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Science. 2010 Aug 27;329(5995):1081-5. (PMID: 20798320)
Science. 2010 Sep 17;329(5998):1541-3. (PMID: 20847276)
Nat Neurosci. 2016 Mar;19(3):366-74. (PMID: 26906503)
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Contributed Indexing :
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Keywords: Bayesian updating; Confidence; Credence; Deliberation; Social epistemology
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Entry Date(s) :
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Date Created: 20220302 Latest Revision: 20220429
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Update Code :
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20220502
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PubMed Central ID :
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PMC8874103
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DOI :
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10.1007/s11229-022-03584-3
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PMID :
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35233123
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Czasopismo naukowe
We argue that social deliberation may increase an agent's confidence and credence under certain circumstances. An agent considers a proposition H and assigns a probability to it. However, she is not fully confident that she herself is reliable in this assignment. She then endorses H during deliberation with another person, expecting him to raise serious objections. To her surprise, however, the other person does not raise any objections to H. How should her attitudes toward H change? It seems plausible that she should (i) increase the credence she assigns to H and, at the same time, (ii) increase the reliability she assigns to herself concerning H (i.e. her confidence). A Bayesian model helps us to investigate under what conditions, if any, this is rational.
(© The Author(s) 2022.)
