Informacja

Drogi użytkowniku, aplikacja do prawidłowego działania wymaga obsługi JavaScript. Proszę włącz obsługę JavaScript w Twojej przeglądarce.

Przeglądasz jako GOŚĆ
Tytuł pozycji:

Obesity Prevalence in the Long-Term Future in 18 European Countries and in the USA

Tytuł :
Obesity Prevalence in the Long-Term Future in 18 European Countries and in the USA
Autorzy :
Fanny Janssen
Anastasios Bardoutsos
Nikoletta Vidra
Pokaż więcej
Temat :
obesity
europe
future
modelling
projecting
Nutrition. Foods and food supply
TX341-641
Nutritional diseases. Deficiency diseases
RC620-627
Źródło :
Obesity Facts, Vol 13, Iss 5, Pp 514-527 (2020)
Wydawca :
Karger Publishers, 2020.
Rok publikacji :
2020
Kolekcja :
LCC:Nutrition. Foods and food supply
LCC:Nutritional diseases. Deficiency diseases
Typ dokumentu :
article
Opis pliku :
electronic resource
Język :
English
ISSN :
1662-4025
1662-4033
Relacje :
https://www.karger.com/Article/FullText/511023; https://doaj.org/toc/1662-4025; https://doaj.org/toc/1662-4033
DOI :
10.1159/000511023
Dostęp URL :
https://doaj.org/article/0c1331ae418c4cfb87ddd8eadc88e0e5
Numer akcesji :
edsdoj.0c1331ae418c4cfb87ddd8eadc88e0e5
Czasopismo naukowe
Introduction: Obesity constitutes a major public health problem in Europe, but how the obesity epidemic in European countries will evolve remains unknown. Most previous obesity projections considered the short-term future only, focused on single non-European countries, and projected ongoing increases foremost. We comparatively project obesity prevalence into the long-term future for 18 European countries and the USA. Data: We used national age-specific (20–84 years) and sex-specific obesity prevalence estimates (1975–2016) from the NCD Risk Factor Collaboration (NCD-RisC) 2017 study, which are based on available measured height and weight data, supplemented with estimates from a Bayesian hierarchical model. Methods: We projected age- and sex-specific obesity prevalence up to the year 2100 by integrating the notion of a wave-shaped obesity epidemic into conventional age-period projections. Results: In 1990–2016, the increasing trends in obesity prevalence were decelerating. Obesity is expected to reach maximum levels between 2030 and 2052 among men, and between 2026 and 2054 among women. The maximum levels will likely be reached first in The Netherlands, USA, and UK, and last in Switzerland; and are expected to be highest in the USA and UK, and lowest in The Netherlands for men and Denmark for women. In 2060, obesity prevalence is expected to be lowest among Dutch men and highest among Swiss men. The projected age-specific obesity prevalence levels have an inverse U-shape, peaking at around the age of 60–69 years. Discussion: Applying our novel approach to the NCD-RisC 2017 data, obesity prevalence is expected to reach maximum levels between 2026 and 2054, with the USA and UK reaching the highest maximum levels first, followed by other European countries.

Ta witryna wykorzystuje pliki cookies do przechowywania informacji na Twoim komputerze. Pliki cookies stosujemy w celu świadczenia usług na najwyższym poziomie, w tym w sposób dostosowany do indywidualnych potrzeb. Korzystanie z witryny bez zmiany ustawień dotyczących cookies oznacza, że będą one zamieszczane w Twoim komputerze. W każdym momencie możesz dokonać zmiany ustawień dotyczących cookies