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Tytuł :
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A surprise for Horwich (and some advocates of the fine-tuning argument (which does not include Horwich (as far as I know)))
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Autorzy :
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HARKER, David
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Temat :
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Argument
Dessein intelligent
Intelligent design
Intención inteligente
Probabilité
Probability
Réglage
Surprise
Philosophie
Philosophy
Philosophie Générale. Métaphysique
General philosophy. Metaphysics
Cognition
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Alternatywny tytuł :
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Une surprise pour Horwich (et d'autres avocats de l'argument du réglage (qui n'inclue pas Horwich (autant que je sache)))
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Źródło :
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Philosophical studies. 161(2):247-261
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Wydawca :
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Heidelberg: Springer, 2012.
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Rok publikacji :
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2012
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Opis fizyczny :
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print; 15; 1/2 p
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Materiał oryginalny :
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INIST-CNRS
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Typ dokumentu :
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Article
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Opis pliku :
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text
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Język :
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English
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Afiliacje autora :
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East Tennessee State University, P.O. Box 70656, Johnson City, TN 37614, United States
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ISSN :
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0031-8116
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Dostęp URL :
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http://pascal-francis.inist.fr/vibad/index.php?action=search&terms=26468039
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Prawa :
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Copyright 2015 INIST-CNRS
CC BY 4.0
Sauf mention contraire ci-dessus, le contenu de cette notice bibliographique peut être utilisé dans le cadre d’une licence CC BY 4.0 Inist-CNRS / Unless otherwise stated above, the content of this bibliographic record may be used under a CC BY 4.0 licence by Inist-CNRS / A menos que se haya señalado antes, el contenido de este registro bibliográfico puede ser utilizado al amparo de una licencia CC BY 4.0 Inist-CNRS
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Numer akcesji :
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edsfra.26468039
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Czasopismo naukowe
The judgment that a given event is epistemically improbable is necessary but insufficient for us to conclude that the event is surprising. Paul Horwich has argued that surprising events are, in addition, more probable given alternative background assumptions that are not themselves extremely improbable. I argue that Horwich's definition fails to capture important features of surprises and offer an alternative definition that accords better with intuition. An important application of Horwich's analysis has arisen in discussions of fine-tuning arguments. In the second part of the paper I consider the implications for this argument of employing my definition of surprise. I argue that advocates of fine-tuning arguments are not justified in attaching significance to the fact that we are surprised by examples of fine-tuning.