The article argues chances of the U.S. military victory over the Taliban without a U.S. commitment to withdraw its troops and accept a major share of power for the Taliban. Topics discussed include serious chance of a peace settlement; lower casualties as the U.S. military actions reduced to air support for the Afghan national forces and limited interventions by U.S. special forces; and ways in which Taliban concentrate to try to capture defended towns, they are beaten back or forced out with heavy casualties under pressure from the U.S. Air Force and Afghan artillery.